Rank	Player	Team	Opponent	Tier	Probability
1	Aaron Judge	NYY	NYM	Nuclear	25.8%
2	James Wood	WSH	LAA	Nuclear	23.6%
3	Oneil Cruz	PIT	CHC	Nuclear	22.0%
4	Juan Soto	NYM	NYY	Nuclear	21.8%
5	Pete Crow-Armstrong	CHC	PIT	Nuclear	20.5%
6	Pete Alonso	BAL	TOR	Elite	19.6%
7	Heliot Ramos	NYY	NYM	Elite	19.3%
8	Mike Trout	LAA	WSH	Elite	19.3%
9	Riley Greene	DET	COL	Elite	19.0%
10	Eduardo Valencia	DET	COL	Elite	18.8%
11	Spencer Jones	NYY	NYM	Elite	18.8%
12	Junior Caminero	TB	HOU	Elite	18.6%
13	Bryan Reynolds	PIT	CHC	Elite	18.1%
14	Francisco Lindor	NYM	NYY	Elite	17.8%
15	Brandon Lowe	PIT	CHC	Elite	17.5%
16	Jose Siri	LAA	WSH	Elite	17.4%
17	Paul Goldschmidt	NYY	NYM	Elite	17.3%
18	Coby Mayo	BAL	TOR	Elite	17.2%
19	Hunter Goodman	COL	DET	Elite	17.0%
20	Christian Encarnacion-Strand	BAL	TOR	Elite	16.9%
21	Kyle Schwarber	PHI	ATL	Elite	16.8%
22	Ian Happ	CHC	PIT	Elite	16.4%
23	Dominic Canzone	SEA	ATH	Elite	16.3%
24	Zach Neto	LAA	WSH	Elite	16.2%
25	Jonathan Aranda	TB	HOU	Elite	16.2%
26	Amed Rosario	NYY	NYM	Elite	16.2%
27	Matt Olson	ATL	PHI	Elite	16.0%
28	Cal Raleigh	SEA	ATH	Elite	16.0%
29	Kazuma Okamoto	TOR	BAL	Elite	15.7%
30	Yandy Díaz	TB	HOU	Elite	15.6%
31	Elly De La Cruz	CIN	MIL	Elite	15.6%
32	Victor Mesa Jr.	TB	HOU	Elite	15.5%
33	Michael Busch	CHC	PIT	Elite	15.5%
34	Michael Conforto	CHC	PIT	Elite	15.4%
35	Bo Bichette	NYM	NYY	Elite	15.0%
36	Drake Baldwin	ATL	PHI	Elite	14.9%
37	Jake Bauers	MIL	CIN	Elite	14.8%
38	Carson Benge	NYM	NYY	Elite	14.8%
39	Brady House	WSH	LAA	Elite	14.8%
40	CJ Abrams	WSH	LAA	Elite	14.7%
41	Max Muncy	ATH	SEA	Elite	14.6%
42	Hao-Yu Lee	DET	COL	Elite	14.5%
43	Bobby Witt Jr.	KC	BOS	Elite	14.5%
44	Cody Bellinger	NYY	NYM	Elite	14.5%
45	Griffin Conine	MIA	LAD	Elite	14.4%
46	Julio Rodríguez	SEA	ATH	Elite	14.4%
47	Heriberto Hernández	MIA	LAD	Elite	14.4%
48	Colt Keith	DET	COL	Elite	14.3%
49	Ronald Acuña Jr.	ATL	PHI	Elite	14.3%
50	Zack Gelof	ATH	SEA	Elite	14.3%
51	Munetaka Murakami	CWS	STL	Elite	14.3%
52	Dylan Crews	WSH	LAA	Elite	14.2%
53	Kevin McGonigle	DET	COL	Elite	14.2%
54	Abimelec Ortiz	WSH	LAA	Elite	14.2%
55	Jared Young	NYM	NYY	Elite	14.2%
56	Brian Serven	ATH	SEA	Elite	14.2%
57	Roman Anthony	BOS	KC	Elite	14.2%
58	Jackson Chourio	MIL	CIN	Elite	14.1%
59	Bryce Harper	PHI	ATL	Elite	14.1%
60	Corey Seager	TEX	ARI	Strong	14.0%
61	Kyle Stowers	MIA	LAD	Strong	14.0%
62	Konnor Griffin	PIT	CHC	Strong	13.9%
63	Fernando Tatis Jr.	SD	SF	Strong	13.9%
64	Garrett Mitchell	MIL	CIN	Strong	13.9%
65	Ryan O'Hearn	PIT	CHC	Strong	13.8%
66	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	TOR	BAL	Strong	13.8%
67	Spencer Torkelson	DET	COL	Strong	13.7%
68	Rafael Devers	SF	SD	Strong	13.6%
69	Alex Bregman	CHC	PIT	Strong	13.6%
70	Michael Harris II	ATL	PHI	Strong	13.6%
71	Henry Bolte	ATH	SEA	Strong	13.5%
72	Lawrence Butler	ATH	SEA	Strong	13.5%
73	Sal Stewart	CIN	MIL	Strong	13.5%
74	Wilyer Abreu	BOS	KC	Strong	13.4%
75	Austin Riley	ATL	PHI	Strong	13.4%
76	George Springer	TOR	BAL	Strong	13.4%
77	Brett Callahan	DET	COL	Strong	13.3%
78	Randy Arozarena	SEA	ATH	Strong	13.2%
79	Max Muncy	LAD	MIA	Strong	13.2%
80	Carter Jensen	KC	BOS	Strong	13.2%
81	Kody Clemens	MIN	CLE	Strong	13.2%
82	Daylen Lile	WSH	LAA	Strong	13.1%
83	Michael Stefanic	ATH	SEA	Strong	13.1%
84	Tyler Stephenson	CIN	MIL	Strong	13.1%
85	A.J. Ewing	NYM	NYY	Strong	13.1%
86	Bo Naylor	MIL	CIN	Strong	13.0%
87	Bryce Eldridge	SF	SD	Strong	13.0%
88	Dylan Beavers	BAL	TOR	Strong	12.9%
89	Michael Arroyo	SEA	ATH	Strong	12.8%
90	Lazaro Montes	SEA	ATH	Strong	12.8%
91	Corbin Carroll	ARI	TEX	Strong	12.8%
92	Vaughn Grissom	LAA	WSH	Strong	12.7%
93	Joc Pederson	TEX	ARI	Strong	12.6%
94	Tommy White	ATH	SEA	Strong	12.6%
95	Mickey Gasper	BOS	KC	Strong	12.5%
96	Miguel Vargas	CWS	STL	Strong	12.5%
97	Jake Burger	TEX	ARI	Strong	12.5%
98	Jackson Merrill	SD	SF	Strong	12.4%
99	Marcus Semien	NYM	NYY	Strong	12.3%
100	Gunnar Henderson	BAL	TOR	Strong	12.2%
101	Tyrone Taylor	CHC	PIT	Strong	12.1%
102	Justin Foscue	TEX	ARI	Strong	12.1%
103	Lars Nootbaar	ARI	TEX	Strong	12.1%
104	Brandon Nimmo	TEX	ARI	Strong	12.1%
105	William Contreras	MIL	CIN	Strong	12.1%
106	Salvador Perez	KC	BOS	Strong	12.1%
107	Brandon Marsh	PHI	ATL	Strong	12.0%
108	Derek Hill	PHI	ATL	Strong	12.0%
109	Christian Yelich	MIL	CIN	Strong	12.0%
110	Carlos Cortes	ATH	SEA	Strong	11.9%
111	Connor Norby	COL	DET	Strong	11.9%
112	Kyle Karros	COL	DET	Strong	11.9%
113	JJ Bleday	CIN	MIL	Strong	11.9%
114	Colton Cowser	BAL	TOR	Strong	11.9%
115	Christian Moore	LAA	WSH	Strong	11.9%
116	Joshua Báez	STL	CWS	Strong	11.8%
117	Jonah Heim	ATH	SEA	Strong	11.7%
118	Ketel Marte	ARI	TEX	Strong	11.7%
119	Jo Adell	CLE	MIN	Strong	11.7%
120	Freddie Freeman	LAD	MIA	Strong	11.7%
121	Josh Bell	MIN	CLE	Strong	11.7%
122	Edmundo Sosa	PHI	ATL	Strong	11.7%
123	Randal Grichuk	CWS	STL	Strong	11.7%
124	Nick Morabito	NYM	NYY	Strong	11.6%
125	Eugenio Suárez	CIN	MIL	Strong	11.6%
126	Jackson Holliday	BAL	TOR	Strong	11.6%
127	Kyle Teel	CWS	STL	Strong	11.6%
128	Donovan Walton	ATH	SEA	Strong	11.6%
129	Jhonny Pereda	SEA	ATH	Strong	11.6%
130	Cole Young	SEA	ATH	Strong	11.5%
131	Jake McCarthy	COL	DET	Strong	11.5%
132	Jordan Walker	STL	CWS	Strong	11.5%
133	Alejandro Kirk	TOR	BAL	Strong	11.4%
134	Alec Burleson	STL	CWS	Strong	11.4%
135	Brice Turang	MIL	CIN	Strong	11.3%
136	Manny Machado	SD	SF	Strong	11.3%
137	Tim Tawa	ARI	TEX	Strong	11.3%
138	Carson Kelly	CHC	PIT	Strong	11.2%
139	Owen Caissie	MIA	LAD	Strong	11.2%
140	Gary Sánchez	MIL	CIN	Strong	11.2%
141	Colson Montgomery	CWS	STL	Strong	11.2%
142	Heston Kjerstad	BAL	TOR	Strong	11.1%
143	Taylor Ward	SEA	ATH	Strong	11.1%
144	Kyle Farmer	ATL	PHI	Strong	11.1%
145	Brewer Hicklen	ATL	PHI	Strong	11.1%
146	DaShawn Keirsey Jr.	ATL	PHI	Strong	11.1%
147	Royce Lewis	MIN	CLE	Strong	11.1%
148	Luis Torrens	NYM	NYY	Strong	11.1%
149	Alec Bohm	PHI	ATL	Strong	11.0%
150	Chase DeLauter	CLE	MIN	Strong	11.0%
151	Josh Naylor	SEA	ATH	Strong	11.0%
152	Matt McLain	CIN	MIL	Strong	11.0%
153	Kyren Paris	LAA	WSH	Strong	10.9%
154	Spencer Horwitz	PIT	CHC	Strong	10.9%
155	J.P. Crawford	SEA	ATH	Strong	10.9%
156	Gabriel Moreno	ARI	TEX	Strong	10.9%
157	Henry Davis	PIT	CHC	Strong	10.9%
158	Vinnie Pasquantino	KC	BOS	Strong	10.8%
159	James McCann	ARI	TEX	Strong	10.8%
160	Teoscar Hernández	LAD	MIA	Strong	10.8%
161	Austin Wells	NYY	NYM	Strong	10.8%
162	Adley Rutschman	BOS	KC	Strong	10.7%
163	Luis Campusano	SD	SF	Strong	10.7%
164	Carlos Jorge	CIN	MIL	Strong	10.7%
165	Will Banfield	CIN	MIL	Strong	10.7%
166	Ke'Bryan Hayes	CIN	MIL	Strong	10.7%
167	Mike Yastrzemski	ATL	PHI	Strong	10.6%
168	Bryson Stott	PHI	ATL	Strong	10.6%
169	John Peck	DET	COL	Strong	10.6%
170	Trea Turner	PHI	ATL	Strong	10.6%
171	Mookie Betts	LAD	MIA	Strong	10.6%
172	Rudy Martin Jr.	TOR	BAL	Strong	10.6%
173	Leo Bernal	STL	CWS	Strong	10.6%
174	Sean Murphy	ATL	PHI	Strong	10.5%
175	Jorge Mateo	TB	HOU	Strong	10.5%
176	Oswald Peraza	LAA	WSH	Strong	10.5%
177	Cole Carrigg	COL	DET	Strong	10.5%
178	Elias Díaz	TEX	ARI	Strong	10.4%
179	J.T. Realmuto	PHI	ATL	Strong	10.4%
180	George Lombard Jr.	NYY	NYM	Strong	10.3%
181	TJ Rumfield	COL	DET	Strong	10.3%
182	Liam Hicks	TB	HOU	Strong	10.3%
183	Tommy Troy	ARI	TEX	Strong	10.3%
184	Pedro Ramírez	CHC	PIT	Strong	10.3%
185	Jacob Gonzalez	PIT	CHC	Strong	10.2%
186	Josh Smith	TOR	BAL	Strong	10.2%
187	Andrew Vaughn	MIL	CIN	Strong	10.2%
188	Andrew Benintendi	CWS	STL	Strong	10.1%
189	Otto Lopez	MIA	LAD	Viable	10.0%
190	Angel Martínez	CLE	MIN	Viable	9.9%
191	Shay Whitcomb	SF	SD	Viable	9.8%
192	Denzer Guzman	LAA	WSH	Viable	9.8%
193	Keibert Ruiz	WSH	LAA	Viable	9.8%
194	Jonah Cox	SF	SD	Viable	9.8%
195	Jarren Duran	BOS	KC	Viable	9.8%
196	Logan O'Hoppe	TEX	ARI	Viable	9.7%
197	Nico Hoerner	CHC	PIT	Viable	9.7%
198	Anthony Volpe	NYY	NYM	Viable	9.7%
199	John Rave	KC	BOS	Viable	9.5%
200	José Ramírez	CLE	MIN	Viable	9.5%
201	Nolan Gorman	STL	CWS	Viable	9.5%
202	Dominic Smith	ATL	PHI	Viable	9.5%
203	Jeff McNeil	ATH	SEA	Viable	9.4%
204	Weston Wilson	SEA	ATH	Viable	9.4%
205	Héctor Rodríguez	CIN	MIL	Viable	9.4%
206	Wyatt Langford	TEX	ARI	Viable	9.4%
207	Thomas Saggese	STL	CWS	Viable	9.3%
208	Luis Lara	MIL	CIN	Viable	9.3%
209	Ezequiel Duran	TEX	ARI	Viable	9.3%
210	Drew Gilbert	SF	SD	Viable	9.3%
211	Adael Amador	COL	DET	Viable	9.3%
212	Ramón Urías	STL	CWS	Viable	9.2%
213	Max Clark	DET	COL	Viable	9.2%
214	Tommy Edman	LAD	MIA	Viable	9.2%
215	Michael Massey	KC	BOS	Viable	9.1%
216	Kyle Tucker	LAD	MIA	Viable	9.0%
217	Jake Rogers	CWS	STL	Viable	9.0%
218	Bryan De La Cruz	PHI	ATL	Viable	9.0%
219	Nathan Lukes	TOR	BAL	Viable	9.0%
220	Jacob Young	WSH	LAA	Viable	9.0%
221	Joey Ortiz	MIL	CIN	Viable	8.9%
222	Ryan Waldschmidt	ARI	TEX	Viable	8.8%
223	Dane Myers	CIN	MIL	Viable	8.8%
224	Josue De Paula	LAD	MIA	Viable	8.8%
225	Jordan Lawlar	ARI	TEX	Viable	8.8%
226	Cedric Mullins	TB	HOU	Viable	8.8%
227	Adrian Del Castillo	ARI	TEX	Viable	8.8%
228	Nolan Arenado	ARI	TEX	Viable	8.7%
229	Mauricio Dubón	ATL	PHI	Viable	8.6%
230	Ezequiel Tovar	COL	DET	Viable	8.6%
231	Carlos Narváez	BAL	TOR	Viable	8.5%
232	Matthew Lugo	KC	BOS	Viable	8.5%
233	Tristan Peters	CWS	STL	Viable	8.5%
234	Danny Jansen	TEX	ARI	Viable	8.5%
235	Braden Montgomery	CWS	STL	Viable	8.4%
236	Brooks Lee	MIN	CLE	Viable	8.4%
237	Brett Bateman	TOR	BAL	Viable	8.4%
238	Richie Palacios	TB	HOU	Viable	8.4%
239	Hunter Feduccia	LAD	MIA	Viable	8.3%
240	Ozzie Albies	ATL	PHI	Viable	8.3%
241	Victor Caratini	MIN	CLE	Viable	8.2%
242	Joe Mack	MIA	LAD	Viable	8.2%
243	Evan Carter	TEX	ARI	Viable	8.1%
244	Denzel Clarke	ATH	SEA	Viable	8.1%
245	Trevor Story	BOS	KC	Viable	8.0%
246	Sam Antonacci	CWS	STL	Viable	8.0%
247	Luke Keaschall	MIN	CLE	Viable	8.0%
248	Ildemaro Vargas	ARI	TEX	Viable	8.0%
249	Cooper Pratt	MIL	CIN	Viable	8.0%
250	Brock Rodden	SEA	ATH	Viable	7.9%
251	Emmanuel Rodriguez	MIN	CLE	Viable	7.9%
252	Alika Williams	ATH	SEA	Viable	7.9%
253	Jake Mangum	PIT	CHC	Viable	7.9%
254	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	ARI	TEX	Viable	7.8%
255	Andrés Giménez	TOR	BAL	Viable	7.8%
256	Iván Herrera	STL	CWS	Viable	7.8%
257	Juan Brito	CIN	MIL	Viable	7.8%
258	Victor Robles	SEA	ATH	Viable	7.7%
259	Travis Bazzana	CLE	MIN	Viable	7.7%
260	Xander Bogaerts	SD	SF	Viable	7.7%
261	Jordan Beck	COL	DET	Viable	7.6%
262	David Hamilton	MIL	CIN	Viable	7.6%
263	Sal Frelick	MIL	CIN	Viable	7.6%
264	Chase Meidroth	CWS	STL	Viable	7.6%
265	Justin Crawford	PHI	ATL	Viable	7.5%
266	Nick Sogard	BOS	KC	Viable	7.5%
267	Brenton Doyle	CWS	STL	Viable	7.4%
268	Darell Hernaiz	ATH	SEA	Viable	7.4%
269	Jakob Marsee	MIA	LAD	Viable	7.4%
270	Nick Loftin	KC	BOS	Viable	7.3%
271	Turner Hill	SF	SD	Viable	7.3%
272	Geraldo Perdomo	ARI	TEX	Viable	7.3%
273	Austin Hays	SD	SF	Viable	7.3%
274	Kaelen Culpepper	MIN	CLE	Viable	7.2%
275	Jose Trevino	CIN	MIL	Viable	7.2%
276	Luis Arraez	PHI	ATL	Viable	7.2%
277	Anthony Seigler	BOS	KC	Viable	7.1%
278	David Fry	CLE	MIN	Viable	7.1%
279	Chandler Simpson	TB	HOU	Viable	7.1%
280	Nathan Church	STL	CWS	Viable	7.1%
281	Jorbit Vivas	WSH	LAA	Viable	7.0%
282	Luisangel Acuña	CWS	STL	Longshot	7.0%
283	Edgar Quero	CWS	STL	Longshot	7.0%
284	Alex Freeland	LAD	MIA	Longshot	6.9%
285	Pedro Pagés	STL	CWS	Longshot	6.9%
286	Jung Hoo Lee	SF	SD	Longshot	6.9%
287	TJ Friedl	CIN	MIL	Longshot	6.7%
288	Javier Sanoja	MIA	LAD	Longshot	6.6%
289	Drew Cavanaugh	SF	SD	Longshot	6.5%
290	Masyn Winn	STL	CWS	Longshot	6.5%
291	Austin Hedges	CLE	MIN	Longshot	6.5%
292	Ha-Seong Kim	ATL	PHI	Longshot	6.5%
293	Rafael Marchán	PHI	ATL	Longshot	6.5%
294	Garrett Stubbs	PHI	ATL	Longshot	6.5%
295	Graham Pauley	MIA	LAD	Longshot	6.3%
296	Steven Kwan	CLE	MIN	Longshot	6.3%
297	Dustin Harris	SD	SF	Longshot	6.2%
298	Bryan Torres	STL	CWS	Longshot	6.2%
299	Brayan Rocchio	CLE	MIN	Longshot	6.1%
300	Tyler Heineman	LAA	WSH	Longshot	6.0%
301	José Fermín	STL	CWS	Longshot	6.0%
302	Christian Koss	SF	SD	Longshot	5.8%
303	Austin Martin	MIN	CLE	Longshot	5.8%
304	Nicky Lopez	TEX	ARI	Longshot	5.7%
305	Cam Cauley	TEX	ARI	Longshot	5.7%
306	Cody Freeman	TEX	ARI	Longshot	5.7%
307	Kyle Isbel	KC	BOS	Longshot	5.5%
308	Caleb Durbin	BOS	KC	Longshot	5.5%
309	Jake Cronenworth	SD	SF	Longshot	5.1%
310	Victor Scott II	STL	CWS	Longshot	5.0%
311	Samad Taylor	SD	SF	Longshot	4.9%